Fiscal Issues

Review of Public Finances : Successive Years of Consolidated Operating Deficit

(Consolidated Operating Surplus/Deficit : The difference between Operating revenue and Operating expenditure)

Actual(billion)

Year 89-90

Year 90-91

Year 91-92

Year 92-93

Year 93-94

Year 94-95

Year 95-96

Year 96-97

Year 97-98

Year 98-99

Year 99-00

22.3

19.9

28.3

34.2

42.8

40.5

29.0

35.0

43.8

-0.6

-0.7

Forecast*(billion)

Year 00-01

Year 01-02

Year 02-03

Year 03-04

-25.0

-15.3

-6.2

2.4

* Figures based on Medium Range Forecast published in March 2000

Illustration: There is a Consolidated Operating Deficit from 1998-99 to 2002-03, meaning that our recurrent expenditure has exceeded our recurrent revenue. This is a phenomenon not seen in the past. A Task Force headed by the Secretary for the Treasury has been set up to review our public finances to determine whether the projected successive operating deficits up to 2002-03 are cyclical or structural in nature.

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